BİLECİK İLİNDE NÜFUSUN MEKÂNSAL DAĞILIŞININ JEOİSTATİSTİKSEL YÖNTEMLERLE İNCELENMESİ

Abstract

Author(s): Serpil MENTEŞE, Ayşe OKUYUCU

Explanation of quantity and variety spatial characteristics of population, get involved to the research area of population geography. Therefore this study, aimed to determine the temporally population distribution and variation with spatial statistical methods in the province of Bilecik. To determine the temporal and spatial distribution of population, population data pertained to province of Bilecik were obtained from Turkey Statistics Institute.Data were analyzed by geo-statistical methods at ArcGIS 9.3 ve ArcGIS 3.2 programs. As a result of the analysis; Moran I, Geary Ratio, Getis-Ord G statistics and Nearest Neighbour Analysis have been identified random population distribution in the province of Bilecik. As a result of analysis the Mean Center, Population-Weighted Mean Center and Median Center; Mean Center, Population-Weighted Mean Center and Median Center places has changed over the years, approximately had stayed within the boundaries of the Bilecik city. In consequence of analysis of the standart deviational elips, the spread over the years was determined northeast-southwest axis. Standart distance calculated on the basis of mean center covered a larger area than standart distance calculated on the basis of population-weighted mean center. Also the population weighted average gradually heading to the northwest.We determine tto the years of population change by correlation analysis and scatterplots with IBMM SPSS Statistics 20 program. As a result of the analysis we confirmed to urban population and total population grows, the rural population had decreased from 1985

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